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MarCher
Industries is considering undertaking a new project with a one-year life with
the following expected return scenarios.
Scenario 1
HIGH-RISK PROJECT
Scenario 2
LOW-RISK PROJECT
Cash
flow (boom)
$1,500,000 $1,000,000
Cash flow (bust) $400,000 $500,000
The
company currently has no debt, but is considering borrowing $870,000 on
a short-term basis to help finance its purchase of the project. The company
will owe $900,000, including principal and interest, in one year. There
is 60% chance a boom will occur, and only 40% chance a bust will occur.
Part 2:
Case Analysis
1) Calculate
the expected value of the high- and low-risk projects to MarCher Industry’s
stockholders if the company remains unlevered. Which project would the
stockholders prefer?
2) Calculate
the expected value of the high- and low-risk projects to MarCher’s
stockholders and bondholders, assuming the company does borrow money to
partially finance the purchase of the project. Which project would the
bondholders prefer? Which project would the stockholders prefer?
3) Explain
why a conflict exists between the bondholders and the stockholders.

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